LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.Sc. DEGREE EXAMINATION – STATISTICS
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FIFTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2006
ST 5503 – COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS
(Also equivalent to STA 508)
Date & Time : 02-05-2006/1.00-4.00 P.M. Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Answer ALL the questions. Each question carries 34 marks.
- a) Fit a straight line trend to the following data:
Year : 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983
Sales: 76 80 130 144 138 120 174 190
(Rs.Lakhs)
Also estimate sales for the year 1990.
- b) Find seasonal indices using ratio to moving average method for the following data:
Quarter
Year I II III IV
1979 30 40 36 34
1980 34 52 50 44
1981 40 58 54 48
1982 57 78 68 62
1983 86 92 80 82
(or)
- c) For the following data:
| Commodity | Base year | Current year | ||
| Price | Quantity | Price | Quantity | |
| A | 10 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| B | 16 | 14 | 20 | 12 |
| C | 12 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
| D | 18 | 18 | 22 | 16 |
| E | 20 | 22 | 25 | 20 |
Find i) Fisher’s ii) Walsh’s iii) Dorbish-Bowley
iv) Marshall-Edgeworth price index numbers
- d) Find seasonal indices using ratio-to-trend method for the following data
Quarter
Year I II III IV
1980 40.3 44.8 46.0 48.0
1981 50.1 53.1 55.3 59.5
1982 47.2 50.1 52.1 55.2
1983 55.4 59.0 61.6 65.3
- a) In a genetical experiment the frequencies observed in four classes are 1997, 906, 904, and 32. Theory predicts that there should be a proportion . Find the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter and also obtain the estimate of its variance.
- b) Five unbiased dice were thrown 96 times and the number of times 4, 5 or 6 was obtained as shown below:
No. of dice showing : 5 4 3 2 1 0
4, 5 or 6
Frequency 8 18 35 24 10 1
Fit a binomial distribution and test the goodness of fit at 5% level of significance.
- c) Use the following sample of size 15 to test the hypothesis of randomness against the alternative hypothesis of cyclic effect.
12.4 13.8 22.2 17.9 24.6 15.7 27.3
22.7 26 14.5 22 21.8 31.9 11.5 28.3
(or)
- d) The following is a sequence of independent observations on the random variable x with the density function , .
The observations are 1.28 1.34 0.64 1.58 0.78 0.94 1.51 1.52 1.71 0.28 0.35 0.40. Obtain the MLE’s of 1 and 2.
- e) Two horses A and B were tested according to the time (in seconds) to run a particular track with the following results:
Horse A: 28 30 32 33 33 29 34
Horse B: 29 30 30 24 27 29
Test whether the two horses have the same running capacity. Use 5% significance level.
- f) A test or rating a person’s sense of humour on the scale from 0 to 150 was given to 15 married couples. The scores of these couples were as follows:
Husband : 56 90 38 51 85 49 55 58 68 74 83 87 60 31 89
Wife : 49 88 51 47 53 41 52 69 83 89 77 62 65 44 92
Use the Wilcoxon test to test if there is a difference in the average sense of humour of husbands and wives against the two sided alternative.
- a) In a population with N=b, the values of Yi are 8, 3,1,11, 4 and 7 respectively. Calculate the sample mean for all simple random sample of size 2 without replacement. Verify that the sample mean is an unbiased estimate of the population mean. Also find the variance of the sample mean.
- b) The following table shows the number of person (x) and the weekly expenditure on food (y) in a simple random sample of 15 families.
Family number: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
x : 2 3 3 5 4 7 2 4
y : 14.3 20.8 22.7 30.5 41.2 28.2 24.2 30.0
Family number: 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
x : 2 5 3 6 4 4 2
y : 24.2 44.4 13.4 19.8 29.4 27.1 22.2
Estimate the mean weekly expenditure on food per person. Also find the standard error of the estimate.
(or)
- c) A simple random sample of 12 households was drawn from a population of 150 households. The following table gives the number of persons in each household and whether they had seen a dentist or not.
Household Number of Dentist seen
Number Persons Yes No
1 5 2 3
2 6 1 5
3 3 1 2
4 2 1 1
5 3 3 0
6 3 0 3
7 4 2 2
8 5 1 4
9 3 1 2
10 4 1 3
11 2 1 1
12 3 2 1
Estimate the proportion of people who had consulted a dentist and find the standard error of the estimate.
- d) A population of size N=20 units is divided into 2 stratum. A sample of size n=8 is to be drawn under proportional allocation using SRS. Find .
Stratum 1:
Unit No.: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Value: 10 15 13 12 8 9 6 11
Stratum 2:
Unit No.: 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Value: 15 17 13 12 20 25 21 17 19 23
Unit No.: 19 20
Value: 17 13
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