Loyola College Econometrics Question Papers Download
Loyola College M.Sc. Statistics Nov 2003 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI –600 034
M.Sc., DEGREE EXAMINATION – STATISTICS
THIRD SEMESTER – NOVEMBER 2003
ST-3950/S919 – ECONOMETRICS
12.11.2003 Max:100 marks
1.00 – 4.00
SECTION-A
Answer ALL questions. (10X2=20 marks)
- What is meant by a generalized least square estimator?
- Explain auto regressive process.
- What are lagged variables?
- What are the properties of OLS estimators of a linear model Y =u?
- What is multi collinearity?
- Explain specification error.
- What is the auto correlation?
- What are the reasons for auto correlation disturbances?
- What are the sources of non spherical disturbances?
- Explain the homoscedasticity property.
SECTION-B
Answer any FIVE questions. (5X8=40 marks)
- Consider the linear Y =u with E (u) = 0 and E(uu!) = Prove that an unbiased estimate of is given by where r is the residual vector.
- Derive the MLE of the parameters of the linear regression model Y =
- Derive the variance – covariance matrix of the autocorrelated disturbance terms?
- Explain in detail the concept of multi cotnearity.
- Explain the effect of excluding the relevant variables is the linear model Y =
- Explain clearly the concept of hetroscedasticity property.
- Explain the concept of structural change.
- Write short notes on (i) dummy variables (ii) seasonal adjustment.
SECTION-C
Answer any TWO questions. (2X20=40 marks)
- For the general linear model Y =u, derive the least square estimator and
find Var .
- a) State and prove gauses Markov theorem.
- b) Derive the test procedures to test the linear hypothesis H:Rb = S for the general linear
model.
- a) What are the properties of OLS estimators under Non spherical disturbances?
- b) Explain the Drubin – Watson test to test for auto correlation. (8+12)
- a) Explain cochrane – orcutt iterative estimation procedure used in the presence of
autocorrelated disturbance.
- b) Describe the ALMON Lag model to estimate the parameters of a distributed Lag
model. (10+10)
Loyola College M.Sc. Statistics April 2007 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
|
M.Sc. DEGREE EXAMINATION – STATISTICS
SECOND SEMESTER – APRIL 2007
ST 2950/3950 – ECONOMETRICS
Date & Time: 28/04/2007 / 1:00 – 4:00 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Section A
Answer all questions. (10*2=20)
- What is the difference between a linear and non-linear model?
- Give any two reasons for the inclusion of the ‘disturbance term’ in an econometric model.
- Interpret the following statement:
Pr{-0.25 < β2 < 1.3} = 0.95.
- Show that in a simple linear model the mean of the observed and estimated Y values are equal.
- What is ‘cross – section ‘data? Give an example.
- What is meant by ‘linear hypothesis’?
- “In a linear model involving dummy variable, if there are ‘m’ categories for the dummy variable, use only ‘m-1’ independent variables”. Justify the above statement.
- Define the term ‘autocorrelation’.
- For a four variable regression model, the observed and estimated (under OLS) values of Y are given below:
Observed Y: 10 14 13 12 17
Estimated Y: 10 13 11 14 15
Calculate the standard error of the estimate.
- Mention any two consequences of multicollinearity.
Section B
Answer any five questions. (5*8=40)
- Mention the assumptions in the classical linear regression model.
- Suppose that a researcher is studying the relationship between gallons of milk consumed by a family per month (Y) and the price of milk each month (X in dollars per gallon). The sample consists of observations in 12 consecutive months. Analysis of the data reveals the following:
SY = 480; SX=36; Sxy=-440
Sx2 = 20; = 528, where x and y are deviates of X and Y from their respective means.
For this sample, find the following:
- Least squares intercept and slope
- Standard error of regression.
- Standard error of the slope.
- Test the hypothesis that the slope coefficient is zero at 5% level.
- Calculate TSS, ESS, RSS and R2 for the following data assuming a linear model of Y on X.
Y: 12 10 14 13 16 14
X: 2 4 7 10 12 13
- Explain the concept of structural change with an example.
- What is meant by interval estimation? Derive a 100(1-α) % confidence interval for the slope parameter in a simple linear model.
- Explain the various methods of detecting multicollinearity.
- Consider the following OLS regression results with standard errors in
parenthesis:
S = 12,000 – 3000X1 + 8000(X1 + X2)
(1000) (3000) n = 25
where S = annual salary of economists with B.A. or higher degree
X1 = 1 if M.A. is highest degree; 0 otherwise
X2 = 1 if Ph.D is highest degree; 0 otherwise
- What is S for economists with a M.A. degree?
- What is S for economists with a Ph.D degree?
- What is the difference in S between M.A.’s and Ph.D’s?
- At 5% level of significance, would you conclude that Ph.D’s earn more per year than M.A.’s?
- Explain the method of estimating the regression parameters in the presence of heteroscedasticity.
Section C
Answer any two questions. (2*20=40)
- a.) State and prove Gauss – Markov theorem.
b.) Show that for a ‘k’ variable regression model, the estimator
= (e1e)/(n-k) is unbiased for σ2. (12+8).
- a.) Derive a test procedure for testing the linear hypothesis Rβ = r where R
is a known matrix of order q x k with q ≤ k and r is a known q x 1
vector.
b.) Explain the procedure for testing the equality of the slope coefficients of
two simple linear models using dummy variables. (10+10)
- a.) Consider the following data on weekly income(Y), gender and status.
Y: 110 100 120 115 145 136 102 150
Gender: 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0
Status: 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 0
where gender = 1 if male; 0 if female
Status = 1 if minor; 0 if major.
Assuming a linear model of Y on gender and status, estimate the
regression coefficients. Interpret the results.
b.) Define the following:
1.) Standard error of the estimate
2.) Ordinal data
3.) Variance Inflating Factor
4.) Coefficient of Determination. (10+10)
- a.) For the following data, use Spearman’s rank correlation test to for the
presence of heteroscedasticity.
Y: 10 14 20 25 13 19 10 35
X: 1.3 2.1 2.5 3.0 1.7 1.9 1.0 2.9
b.) Explain the Breusch – Pagan – Godfrey test. (10+10).
Loyola College M.A. Economics April 2006 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
M.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
|
SECOND SEMESTER – APRIL 2006
EC 2807 – ECONOMETRICS
Date & Time : 26-04-2006/9.00-12.00 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
PART – A
Answer any FIVE questions in about 75 words each. (5 x 4 = 20 Marks)
- Distinguish between ‘Mathematical Economics’ and ‘Econometrics’.
- What is meant by dummy variable trap?
- What is speciafication error?
- Define ‘Multicollinearity’.
- Define the stochastic error term in an econometric model.
- How do you use rank condition in identifying a simultaneous equation model?
- What is seasonal adjustment?
PART – B
Answer any FOUR questions in about 250 words each. (4 x 10 = 40 Marks)
- Discuss the properties of a good estimator.
- Derive multicollinearity and its consequences and discuss the remedial measures.
- Derive the consequences of specification error.
- Define heteroscedasticity and explain its consequences.
- Derive the estimates vector under grouping of observations.
- Distinguish between error in the measurement of dependent variable and that of the independent variable.
- Discuss Almon’s transformation used in estimating a distributed lag model.
PART – C
Answer any TWO questions in about 900 words each. (2 x 20 = 40 Marks)
- Show that the efficiency of OLS estimate is less than that of GLS under GLS assumptions. (Use estimate of OLS and GLS variances)
- is one equation in a three equation model which contains three other exogenous variables and . Observations gives the following matrices.
- Derive 2SLS estimates.
- Derive the following results:
- e = Mu
- e’e = u’Mu
- E(e’e)=(n-k)s2
Loyola College M.A. Economics April 2007 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
|
M.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
SECOND SEMESTER – APRIL 2007
EC 2807 – ECONOMETRICS
Date & Time: 24/04/2007 / 1:00 – 4:00 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Part – A 5 * 4 = 20
Answer any FIVE Questions with not exceeding 75 words each.
- What do you mean by Econometrics?
- Distinguish between homoscedasticity and hectorscedasticity.
- Define Classical Linear Regression Model.
- What are the specifications of an error term in a single equation model?
- State the First-Order Autoregressive Scheme.
- Define Generalized Least-Square Estimator.
- Write a note on recursive model. Give an example
Part – B 4 * 10 = 40
Answer any FOUR Questions with not exceeding 150 words each.
- Explain the importance of Econometrics.
- Explain the “Goodness of Fit”
- Obtain the Least-Square estimator for K- variables.
- Explain the uses of Dummy variables.
- Discuss the causes and consequences of Autocorrelation.
- State and explain the necessary and sufficient conditions for identification problem.
- State and explain the OLS principle.
Part – C 2 * 20 = 40
Answer any TWO Questions with not exceeding 300 words each.
- Explain the extension of CLRM with an illustration.
- Analyse the properties of Least-Square Estimator for K-variables.
- Examine the method of Indirect Least Method
- Explain the Maximum Likelihood Estimator Method.
Loyola College M.A. Economics April 2008 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
|
M.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
SECOND SEMESTER – APRIL 2008
EC 2807 – ECONOMETRICS
Date : 29/04/2008 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Time : 1:00 – 4:00
PART – A
Answer any FIVE questions in about 75 words each. (5 x 4 = 20 marks)
- Define econometrics.
- What is a non linear transformation?
- Distinguish between extreme and less extreme multicollinearity.
- What is homoscedasticity/
- What are the sources of dummy variable?
- Differentiate between pure and mixed models.
- What is an instrumental variable?
PART – B
Answer any FOUR questions in about 250 words each. (4 x 10 = 40 marks)
- Derive the normal equations of a two variable linear model.
- Explain the role dummy variable in seasonal adjustment.
- Prove that inclusion of irrelevant variables posses a less serious problem than exclusion of relevant variables in the model.
- Derive Koyck’s transformation used in estimating a distributed lag model.
- Discuss the method of estimation using grouped data.
- Derive GLS method of estimation.
- Show that errors in the measurement of dependent variables poses a less serious problem than that in the independent variables.
PART – C
Answer any TWO questions in about 900 words each. (2 x 20 = 40 marks)
- Discuss the identifiably state of the following model
‘Y’ s are endogenous and ‘X’ s are exogenous and ‘U’s are error terms.
- Define autocorrelation and discuss its consequences and remedial measures.
- Derive 2SLS estimator.
- Derive 3SLS estimator.
Loyola College M.A. Economics April 2012 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
M.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
SECOND SEMESTER – APRIL 2012
EC 2811 – ECONOMETRICS
Date : 24-04-2012 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Time : 9:00 – 12:00
Part – A
Answer any Five questions in about 75 words each: (5 x 4 = 20)
- Define Econometrics.
- What is the use of a non linear transformation in econometrics?
- What is Dummy Variable Trap?
- What is an instrumental variable?
- Distinguish between extreme and less extreme multi-collinearity.
- What is meant by simultaneous equation bias?
- Distinguish between Structural form and reduced form of a model.
Part – B
Answer any Four questions: (4 x 10 =40)
- Explain the four non linear transformations commonly used in Econometrics.
- Derive the two normal equations of a two variable linear model by OLS.
- How do we deseasonalize a series by dummy variable technique?
- Derive the GLS estimate.
- Explain the consequences of heteroscedasticity.
- Discuss the method of ILS.
- How do we estimate a distributed lag model by using Koyck’s transformation?
Part – C
Answer any Two questions: (2 x 20 = 40)
- Show that OLS estimator is BLUE (use a two variable linear model)
- Define autocorrelation. How do autocorrelated disturbances lead to violation of the assumption E (u u’) = σ2 Discuss the methods of detecting autocorrelation.
- Discuss the identifiability state of the following model (by both structural and reduced form)
y1 = 3y2 – 2x1 + x2 + u1
y2 = y3 + x3 + u2
y3 = y1 – y2 – 2x3 + u3.
- Derive the 2SLS estimator.
Loyola College B.Sc. Statistics April 2008 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.Sc. DEGREE EXAMINATION – STATISTICS
|
FOURTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2008
ST 4207/ ST 4204 – ECONOMETRICS
Date : 25-04-08 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Time : 9:00 – 12:00
SECTION- A
Answer all the questions. Each carries TWO marks. (10 x 2 = 20 marks)
- Define sample space and event of a random experiment.
- If P(A) = ¼ , P(B) = ½ and P(AB) = 1/6 , find (i) P(AB) and (ii) P(AcB).
- Given:
X= x : 0 1 2 3 4
P(X=x): 1/6 1/8 ¼ 1/12 3/8
Find E(2X + 11).
- If f ( x, y) is the joint p.d.f. of X and Y, write the marginals and conditional
distributions.
- Write any two properties of expected values.
- Define BLUE.
- Define the population regression coefficient .
- Write variance inflating factor of an estimator in the presence of multicollinearity.
- Define autocorrelation.
- Define point and interval estimation.
SECTION –B
Answer any FIVE questions. Each carries EIGHT marks. (5 x 8 = 40 marks)
- Consider 3 urns. Urn I contains 3 white and 4 red , Urn II contains 5 white and 4 red and Urn III contains 4 white and 4 red balls. One ball was drawn from each urn. Find the probability that the sample will contain 2 white and 1 red balls.
- If a fair coin is tossed 10 times, find the chance of getting (i) exactly 4 heads
(ii) atleast 6 heads (iii) atmost 8 heads (iv) not more than 4 heads.
- Derive the least square estimators of the linear model Y = 1 + 2 X + u .
- State any six assumptions of the linear regression model.
- How to fit a non-linear regression model of the form Y = 1 + 2 X + 3 X 2 ?.
- Consider the model Y = 1 + 2 X + u where X and Y denote respectively
consumer income (hundreds of dollars per person) and consumption of purple
oongs (pounds per person) . The sample size is 20 , sum of X is 300, sum of Y
is 120 , sum of squares of deviations of X from its mean is 500 , sum of product
of deviations of X and Y from their respective means is 66. 5 and sum of squares
of is 3.6.
- Compute the slope and intercept.
- Compute the standard error of regression.
- Compute the standard error of slope.
- In a book of 520 pages , 390 typo- graphical errors occured. Assuming Poisson
law for the number of errors per page, find the probability that a random sample
of 5 pages contain (i) no error (ii) atleast 3 errors.
- The mean yield for one-acre plot is 662 kg with a standard deviation of 32 kg.
Assuming normal distribution find how many one-acre plots in a batch of 1000
plots will have yield (i) over 700 kg (ii) below 65 kg .
SECTION – C
Answer any TWO questions. Each carries TWENTY marks. (2 x 20 = 40 marks)
- Consider the following joint distribution of (X,Y):
X 0 1 2 3
0 1/27 3/27 3/27 1/27
Y 1 3/27 6/27 3/27 0
2 3/27 3/27 0 0
3 1/27 0 0 0
(a) Find the marginal distributions of X and Y.
(b) Find E( X ) and V ( X )
(c) Find the correlation between X and Y.
(d) Find E ( Y | X = 2 )
(e) Verify whether or not X and Y are independent.
- (a) Explain the following methods of estimation used in the analysis of regression
models:
(i) Maximum likelihood (ii) Moments
(b) The heights of 10 males of a given locality are found to be 70 , 67, 62 , 68 , 61
68 ,70 , 64 , 64 , 66 inches. Is it reasonable to believe that the average height is
greater than 64 inches ? Test at 5% significance level.
- For the following data on consumption expenditure (Y ) , income ( X2 ) and wealth
( X3 ):
Y($) : 70 65 90 95 110 115 120 140 155 150
X2 ($) : 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260
X3 ($) : 810 1009 1273 1425 1633 1876 2052 2201 2435 2686
- Fit a regression model Y = 2 X2 + 3 X3 + u .
- Find the correlation coefficients between Y and X2 , Y and X3 , X2 and X3.
- Find unadjusted and adjusted R2 .
- Test H0 : 2 = 3 = 0 at 5% significance level .
- (a) For the k-variate regression model Y = 1 + 2 X2 +…+k Xk + u
carry out the procedure for testing H0 : 2 = 3 = … = k = 0 against
H1: atleast one k 0.
(b) Write the properties of ordinary least square(OLS) estimators under the
normality assumption.
Loyola College B.Sc. Statistics Nov 2012 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.Sc. DEGREE EXAMINATION – STATISTICS
FOURTH SEMESTER – NOVEMBER 2012
ST 4207/4204 – ECONOMETRICS
Date : 07/11/2012 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Time : 1:00 – 4:00
Section –A
Answer all the questions: (10 x 2 = 20)
- Mention any two property of variance.
- Write a note on interval estimation.
- Define BLUE
- Obtain ESS from the following data given that RSS = 133.
Y
|
10 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 25 | 30 | 19 | 27 |
- Define hypothesis
- What is Multiple Regression? Give an Example.
- Give the formula for Durbin Watson d – statistic.
- What do you mean by bench mark category?
- State the reasons under which Multicollinearity
- Define lagged variables.
Section –B
Answer any five questions: ( 5 x 8 = 40)
- A card is drawn from a pack of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting a king or a heart or a red card.
- The diameter of an electric cable, say X, is assumed to be a continuous random variable with p.d.f:
- Check that is p.d.f.
- Determine a number b such that P ( X < b ) = P ( X > b ).
- Explain in detail the Goals of Econometrics.
- Derive least square estimators for simple linear regression model.
- Explain in detail Variance Inflation Factor.
- From the following data estimate d-statistic and test for autocorrelation.
et : 0.6, 1.9, -1.7, -2.2, 1.3,3.2, 0.2,0.8, 2.1, -1.5, -1.1
(Given dL = 1.45 and du = 1.65)
- What are dummy variables? Explain its usefulness in regression analysis with
example.
- Find the value of R2 for the following data:
Y | 12 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 |
X1 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
X2 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Section – C
Answer any two questions: ( 2 x 20= 40)
- Two random variable X and Y have the following joint probability density function:
Find (i) Marginal probability density functions of X and Y
- Conditional density functions
- Var ( X) and Var ( Y)
- Covariance between X and Y.
- Consider the following data on X and Y
X | 50 | 42 | 71 | 35 | 61 | 45 | 53 | 45 | 38 | 41 | 63 | 34 | 41 |
Y | 145 | 123 | 155 | 120 | 150 | 130 | 155 | 120 | 135 | 160 | 165 | 115 | 120 |
- Estimate the equations of Y on X
- Test the significance of the parameters at 5% level of significance.
- Given the following data the estimated model is . Test the problem of heteroscedasticity with the help of park test.
X | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Y | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
- Fit a linear regression model for the given data by the use of dummy variables
Aptitude score | 4 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
Education qualification | UG | PG | UG | HSC | PG | UG | PG | HSC | UG | PG |
Loyola College B.Sc. Economics April 2012 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.Sc. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
FOURTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2012
ST 4207 – ECONOMETRICS
Date : 19-04-2012 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Time : 1:00 – 4:00
Section –A
Answer all the questions (10 x 2 = 20)
- Define Maximum likelihood estimation.
- Give any two properties of normal distribution.
- Mention the difference between statistic and parameter.
- What is level of significance?
- Distinguish between R2 and adjusted R2
- What is meant by Intercept and Slope?
- Define Multicollinearity.
- Give any two forms of Glesjer test.
- State the reason for lag.
- Define specification error.
Section –B
Answer any five questions (5 x 8 = 40)
- Data on the readership of a certain magazine show that the proportion of male readers under 35 is 0.40 and over 35 is 0.20. If the proportion of readers under 35 is 0.70, find the proportion of subscribers that are female over 35 years. Also calculate the probability that randomly selected male subscriber is under 35 years of age.
- A random variable X has the following probability distribution function:
Value of X, x | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
P(x) | K | 3k | 5k | 7k | 9k | 11k | 13k | 15k | 17k |
- Determine the value of k
- Find P( X < 3) , P( X 3)
- P ( 0 < X < 5 )
- Establish the unbiasedness property of OLS estimators for simple linear regression model.
- State and prove Gauss Markov theorem.
- Derive by using matrix approach for a multiple regression model.
- How do you measure the goodness of fit in the regression model.
- Consider the model with the following observations on Y and X
X | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Y | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
The estimated model is =1.933+0.194X; Examine the existence of heteroscedasticity
using spearman’s rank correlation test.
- Explain lagged variable with an illustration.
Section – C
Answer any two questions (2 x 20= 40)
- a) A variable X is distributed between the values 0 and 4 and its probability density function is given by
Find the value of k, the mean and standard deviation of the distribution.
- b) Write short notes on:-
- Nature of Econometrics
- Structural and reduced forms
- Applications of Econometrics
- Given the following data
∑ Yi2 | 1000 |
∑ X1i2 | 200 |
∑X2i2 | 100 |
∑ X1i Yi | 400 |
∑ X2i Yi | -100 |
∑ X1i X2i | 0 |
50 | |
15 | |
10 | |
n | 28 |
- Estimate the parameter in the equation,
- Estimate S.E. of estimators,
- Test the significance of and
- Find R
- Given the following data test the problem of heteroscedasticity with the help of Goldfeld Quantt
X | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Y | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
- Consider the following data on Y, X1 and X2.
Y: 10 20 40 30 50
X1: 2 5 3 8 7
X2: 1 0 1 2 1
a.) Fit a linear model of Y on X1 and X2. Interpret the regression coefficients.
b.) Calculate R2 and interpret it.
Loyola College B.A. Economics April 2003 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034.
B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
FourTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2003
sT 4204 – ECONOMETRICS
26.04.2003
9.00 – 12.00 Max : 100 Marks
PART – A (10´ 2=20 marks)
Answer ALL the questions.
- Define Expectation of a random variable in the discrete and continuous cases.
- Distinguish between parameter and statistic.
- Define Best Linear Unbiased Estimator.
- State any two conditions underlying the ordinary least square (O.L.S.) technique.
- Define ‘residuals’ in the case of two variable linear model and state its properties.
- Define coefficient of Determination.
- Explain the term ‘Linear Hypothesis’ with an example.
- State any two ways in which ‘specification Error’ occurs.
- Write down the AR (1) model for the disturbance term stating the assumptions.
- If X ~ N (3, 4), find P(3 < x < 5).
PART – B (5´ 8=40 marks)
Answer any FIVE questions.
- X and Y are random variables whose joint distribution is as follows:
X
Y |
-1 0 1 2 |
2
3 |
1/10 3/10 0 2/10
2/10 1/10 1/10 0 |
Find means and variances of X and Y.
- Construct a 95% confidence internal for the mean m of a normal population (variance
unknown) given the following observations:
3.25, 4.10, 4.72, 3.64, 3.50, 3.90, 4.85, 4.20, 4.30, 3.75 .
- For the two variable linear model, obtain the decomposition of the total variation in the data. Present the ANOVA for testing H0: b2 = 0. Also, give a heuristic motivation for the ANOVA procedure.
- Fit a regression line through the origin for the following data on the annual rate of return on a fund (Y) and market portfolio (X) and test the significance of the regression coefficient
Y | 40.3 | 3.6 | 63.7 | -35.2 | 67.5 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 19.3 | -42.0 | 19.2 |
X | 35.3 | 9.5 | 61.9 | -29.3 | 19.5 | 31.0 | 14.0 | 45.5 | -26.5 | 8.5 |
- Briefly discuss the test for significance of a subset of regression coefficients in a
k-variable linear model. In a five-variable model Y= b1+b2 X 2 +b3 X3 + b4 X4 + b5 X5 , suppose that one wants to test H0 : b4 = b5 = 0 with 15 observations and computes the residual sums of squares under the full and restricted regression as 12.25 and 21.37 respectively. Can the hypothesis be rejected at 5% level of significance? - Explain the use of Dummy variables in regression analysis with an illustration.
- Give the motivation for Generalized least squares (GLS). For two variable linear model, state the GLS estimate of the slope parameter.
- “Econometrics is an amalgam of economic theory, mathematical economics and Mathematical Statistics; Yet, it is a subject on its own right” –
PART – C (2´20=40 marks)
Answer any TWO questions.
- Let (X,Y)have joint p.d.f. f (x, y) = 2-x-y , , , Find correlation coefficient between X and Y.
- To study the labour force participation of urban poor families, the following data were obtained from 12 regions:
Region | % Labour force
(Y) |
Mean family Income
(in’ 100 Rupees) (X2) |
Mean family size
(X3) |
1
2 |
64.3
45.4 |
19.98
11.14 |
2.95
3.40 |
3
4 |
26.6
87.5 |
19.42
19.98 |
3.72
4.43 |
5
6 |
71.3
82.4 |
20.26
18.53 |
3.82
3.90 |
7
8 |
26.3
61.6 |
16.66
14.34 |
3.32
3.80 |
9
10 |
52.9
64.7 |
15.13
20.08 |
3.49
3.85 |
11
12 |
64.9
70.5 |
17.04
15.25 |
4.69
3.89 |
Carry out the regression of Y on (X2 , X3). Test the significance of the overall
regression at 5%level of significance.
- (a) Explain the term structural change. Discuss the test procedure for the hypothesis of no
structural change against the alternative hypothesis of structural change.
- Discuss two methods of detecting heteroscedasticity and the remedies. (10+10)
- What is ‘Multi collinearity’ problem. Discuss a method of detecting multi collinearity in a given data. Also, describe in detail, the remedial measures to overcome the undesirable effects of multi collinearity.
Loyola College B.A. Economics April 2004 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI –600 034
B.A., DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
FOURTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2004
ST 4204/STA 204 – ECONOMETRICS
07.04.2004 Max:100 marks
9.00 – 12.00
SECTION -A
Answer ALL questions. (10 ´ 2 = 20 marks)
- Define the term ‘econometrics’.
- Give any two properties of expectation.
- List down the axioms of probability.
- Mention the difference between statistic and parameter.
- Give any two properties of least square estimates.
- Consider the regression of y on x given by y = . How will you interpret the regression coefficients?
- What is analysis of variance?
- Give an example for structural change.
- Mention the consequences of multicollinearity.
- What is meant by heteroscedasticity?
SECTION – B
Answer any FIVE questions. (5 ´ 8 = 40 marks)
- a) A, B and C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events associated with a random experiment. find P(A) given that P (B) = P(A); P(C) = P(B).
- b) If 2 dice are thrown, what is the probability of getting a sum greater than 8?
- c) If find P(A) and P(B). Hence show that A and B are independent. (2+2+4)
- a) Explain the term ‘linear’ with reference to a regression model.
- b) Write down the assumptions in a simple linear regression model. (4+4)
- Suppose that a researcher is studying the relationship between gallons of milk consumed by a family per month (y) and the price of milk each month (x in dollars / gallon). The sample consists of observations in 12 consecutive months. Analysis of the data assuming a linear model of y on x reveals the following:
. For this sample, find (i) (ii) (iii) Least squares slope (iv) Least squares intercept (v) Standard error of regression (vi) standard error of slope (vii) Test the hypothesis that the slope coefficient is zero at 5% level.
- Consider the following data set:
Sample No: 1 2 3 4 5
y : 15 10 14 8 3
x: 1 2 3 4 5
- i) Calculate the least square estimates for and assuming the model
y = for the above data.
- ii) Calculate for each sample.
iii) Calculate TSS and RSS.
- iv) Calculate the coefficient of determination.
- Justify / interpret the following statements:
- P { – 0.725 < b1 < 2.35} = 0.90
- R2 = 0.6735
- the estimates obtained by the least squares method are the best when compared with the estimates obtained by some other method.
- .
- Explain the concept of interval estimation.
- What are dummy variables? Explain how the data matrix is specified in the presence of dummy variables.
- Explain the method of Generalized least squares.
SECTION – C
Answer any TWO questions. (2 ´ 20 = 40 marks)
- a) The joint probability distribution of two random variables X and Y in given by
X
-1 0 1
-1 0 0 1/3
Y 0 0 0 0
1 0 1/3 1/3
find i) the marginal distribution of X and Y.
- ii) Var(X), Var(Y)
iii) Cov(X,Y)
- iv) Conditional probability of X given Y = 1.
- v) Var(X + Y)
- b) Define: Independent events, mutually exclusive events and sample space. (15+5)
- a) Explain the test of overall significance of a multiple regression.
- b) Consider the following ANOVA table:
SOURCE | df | Sum of Squares |
All Variables
(X1, X2, X3, X4) |
? | 800 |
First two Variables (X1, X2) | ? | 300 |
Difference | ? | ? |
Residual | ? | ? |
Total | 25 | 1500 |
- Complete the table by filling the missing values.
- Test H0: b1 = b2 = b3 = b4 = 0
Vs
H1 : atleast one bk 0, k = 1,2,3,4 at 5% level
iii) Test H0: b1 = b2 = 0
Vs
H1: b1 0 (or) b2 0 at 5% level.
- iv) Test H0 : b3 = b4 = 0 Vs H1: b3 0 (or) b4 0 at 1% level (8+12)
- a) Consider the following data
y X1 X2
1 1 2
3 2 1
8 3 -3
Based on this data, estimate the following regressions:
yi = a0+ a1 X1 i + u1i
yi = b0 + b1X1i+ b2X2i +u2i
Is a1 = b1? Why or why not?
- b) i) Explain the concept of structural change.
- ii) Give the steps involved in ‘Chow test’ to test for structural change. (10+10)
- a) Explain the remedial measures for multicollinearity.
- b) Write short notes on:
- Coefficient of determination
- Statistical inference
Random variables. (10+10)
Loyola College B.A. Economics April 2006 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
|
FOURTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2006
ST 4204 – ECONOMETRICS
Date & Time : 22-04-2006/9.00-12.00 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Section A
Answer all questions ( 10 x 2 = 20 )
- What is the difference between a ‘Mathematical model’ and an ‘Econometric model’?
- Give any two properties of variance.
- Mention any two properties of OLS estimates.
- Let the sample space for a random experiment be S = {1, 2,…, 50}.Let A and B be two events defined on S with the event space A={all odd numbers between 1 to 50} and B={prime numbers between 1 to 50}.Are A and B independent?
- Give one example each for discrete and continuous random variable.
- What is meant by ‘Time series’ data? Give an example for the same.
- Interpret the following regression equation.
Y = 1.7 + 0.251X1 + 1.32X2
where Y denotes the weekly sales( in ‘000’s)
X1 denotes the weekly advertisement expenditure
X2 denotes the number of sales persons.
- In a multiple regression model, the value of R2 is found to be 0.894.How would you interpret it?
- For a two variable regression model, the observed and estimated (under OLS) values of Y are given below:
Observed Y: 10 14 13 12 17
Estimated Y: 10 13 11 14 15
Calculate the standard error of the estimate.
- What is meant by ‘dummy variable’?
Section B
Answer any five questions ( 5 x 8 = 40 )
- Define the following:
- Sample space
- Independent events
- Conditional probability
- Random variable
- If X is a random variable distributed as normal with mean 10 and variance 3 Find a.) P(X<8) b.) P(-1<X<5) c.) P(X>15)
- The following data relates to the family size(X) and family food spending(Y)
of 8 persons randomly selected from a small urban population.
Y: 40 50 50 70 80 100 110 105
X: 1 1 2 1 4 2 4 6
Assuming there is a linear relationship between Y and X, perform a regression of Y on X and estimate the regression coefficients. Also find the standard error of the estimate.
- Consider the following information from a 4 variable regression equation:
Residual sum of squares = 94;
Y = 10,12,14,9,7,8,2,22,4,12.
a.) Find TSS and ESS.
b.) Test the hypothesis that R2 = 0 at 5% level.
- Explain the concept of point and interval estimation with an example.
- Give the procedure for Chow’s test.
- Explain the ANOVA and ANCOVA models in regression analysis using
example.
- Consider the following data set:
Sample no.: 1 2 3 4 5
Y: 15 10 14 8 3
X: 1 2 3 4 5
Calculate the standard errors of the intercept and slope coefficients.
Section C
Answer any two questions ( 2 x 20 = 40 )
- a.) Explain the different steps involved in an Econometric study.
b.) Mention the various assumptions in a Classical Linear Regression model.
(10 + 10 )
- A bag contains three balls numbered 1, 2, 3 . Two balls are drawn at random , with replacement , from the bag. Let X denote the number of the first ball drawn and Y the number of the second ball drawn.
- Find the joint distribution of X and Y
- Find the marginal distributions of X and Y
- Find variance of X and variance of Y
- Are X and Y independent ?
- Calculate the correlation between X and Y
- a.) Explain the procedure for testing structural change using dummy
variables.
b.) Consider the following data on annual income (in 000’s $) categorized by
gender and age.
Income: 12 10 14 15 6 11 17
Gender: 0 1 1 0 0 1 1
Age: 1 1 0 1 0 0 1
where Gender = 1 if male; 0 if female
Age = 1 if less than or equal to 35; 0 if greater than 35.
Perform a regression of Income on Gender and age. Interpret the results.
What is the benchmark category for the above model? ( 8 + 12 )
- a) Explain the construction of 95% confidence interval for the slope
coefficient in a two variable regression model.
b.) Define the following:
1.) Standard error of the estimate
2.) Correlation coefficient
3.) Differential intercept
4.) Mutually exclusive events.
Loyola College B.A. Economics April 2007 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
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B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
FOURTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2007
ST 4204 – ECONOMETRICS
Date & Time: 19/04/2007 / 9:00 – 12:00 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
SECTION A
Answer all questions. (2*10=20)
- Define the term ‘Econometrics’.
- What are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events?
- Let P(A) = 0.3; P(BC) = 0.4; P(A|B) = 0.54. Find P(A∩B).
- Consider the following distribution function of X:
X: -2 -1 1 2
P[X=x]: 0.25 0.5 0.13 0.12
Find E(2X+3).
- Give any two properties of normal distribution.
- Define: null and alternative hypothesis.
- Show that the observed mean and estimated mean of Y for a simple linear model of Y on X are equal.
- Obtain ESS from the following data given that RSS = 133.
Y: 10 14 17 20 25 30 19 27
- What is Variance Inflating Factor? When will its value be equal to one?
- Mention the limitations of OLS estimates in the presence of heteroscedasticity?
SECTION B
Answer any FIVE questions. (5*8=40)
- Explain the concept of population regression function and sample regression
function with an example.
- A family consists of 4 boys and 4 girls. If 3 among them are selected at
random, what is the probability that a.) all are girls b.) exactly 2 are boys
c.) first and last are girls and middle one is a boy.
- Fit a binomial distribution to the following data:
X: 0 1 2 3 4
Frequency: 7 10 8 4 1
- a.) What is a standard normal distribution?
b.) Let X be a normally distributed random variable with mean 24 and
variance 9. Find the percentage of observations i.) above 10 ii.) between
22 and 25.
- What is meant by structural change? Explain the procedure of Chow’s test to
test for the presence of structural change.
- What are dummy variables? Explain its usefulness in regression analysis with
example.
- Consider the following regression result:
Estimate Standard Error T-Ratio
Constant 10.325 2.147 ?
Intercept 5.12 ? 13.56
Slope -7.16 1.45 ?
ANOVA TABLE
Source df Sum of Squares
Regressors 2 ?
Error ? 122
Total 22 348
- Find the missing values.
- Find R2 and test the overall significance of the model at 5% level.
- Explain the method of Generalized Least Squares to estimate the regression
parameters in the presence of heteroscedasticity.
SECTION C
Answer any TWO questions. (2*20=40)
- Five families live in an apartment. The number of cats each family keeps as
pets are indicated in the following table:
Family: 1 2 3 4 5
Number of cats: 0 4 0 0 6
- What is the “mean number of cats” for the population of families?
- Suppose that a researcher took a random sample of two families. What is the sample mean number of cats for each of the 10 possible samples?
- Calculate the frequency and relative frequency of each possible value of the mean number of cats for all samples of size two and give the sampling distribution.
- What are the mean and variance of this sampling distribution?
- Suppose that the researcher took a random sample of four families. What is the sample mean number of cats for each of the 5 possible samples?
- Calculate the frequency and relative frequency of each possible value of the mean number of cats for all samples of size four and give the sampling distribution.
- What is the mean and variance of this sampling distribution?
- Is the mean of the samples an unbiased estimator of the population mean for samples of sizes two and four?
- What conclusion can be drawn about the variance of the sampling distribution as the sample size increases?
- Suppose that a researcher is studying the relationship between gallons of milk
consumed by a family per month (Y) and the price of milk each month ( X in
dollars per gallon). The sample consists of observations in 12 consecutive
months. Analysis of the data reveals the following:
∑ Y = 480 ∑ X = 36 ∑ xy = -440
∑ x2 = 20 RSS = 528
where x and y are the deviations of X and Y from their respective means.
- Find the least squares intercept and slope.
- Find the standard error of the slope.
- Test whether the slope is significantly different from zero at 5% level.
- Assume that the Total Sum of Squares (TSS) is 1100. Form an ANOVA table and test the significance of the overall model at 5% level.
- Consider the following data on Y, X1 and X2.
Y: 10 20 40 30 50
X1: 2 5 3 8 7
X2: 1 0 1 2 1
a.) Fit a linear model of Y on X1 and X2. Interpret the regression coefficients.
b.) Calculate R2 and interpret it.
c.) Test at 5% Level H0: R2 = 0 Vs H1: R2 ≠ 0.
- ) Explain the various methods of detecting multicollineartiy.
- Consider the following observed and expected Y values obtained from a linear regression model of Y on X.
Observed Y: 12.4 14.4 14.6 16.0 11.3 10.0 16.2 10.4 13.1 11.3
Expected Y: 12.1 21.4 18.7 21.7 12.5 10.4 20.8 10.2 16.0 12.0
Use spearmen’s rank correlation test to test for the presence of
heteroscedasticity (Assume the level of significance to be 0.05).
Loyola College B.A. Economics April 2008 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
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FOURTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2008
ST 4207 / 4204 – ECONOMETRICS
Date : 25/04/2008 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
Time : 9:00 – 12:00
SECTION- A
Answer all the questions. Each carries TWO marks. (10 x 2 = 20 marks)
- Define sample space and event of a random experiment.
- If P(A) = ¼ , P(B) = ½ and P(AB) = 1/6 , find (i) P(AB) and (ii) P(AcB).
- Given:
X= x : 0 1 2 3 4
P(X=x): 1/6 1/8 ¼ 1/12 3/8
Find E(2X + 11).
- If f ( x, y) is the joint p.d.f. of X and Y, write the marginals and conditional
distributions.
- Write any two properties of expected values.
- Define BLUE.
- Define the population regression coefficient .
- Write variance inflating factor of an estimator in the presence of multicollinearity.
- Define autocorrelation.
- Define point and interval estimation.
SECTION –B
Answer any FIVE questions. Each carries EIGHT marks. (5 x 8 = 40 marks)
- Consider 3 urns. Urn I contains 3 white and 4 red , Urn II contains 5 white and 4 red and Urn III contains 4 white and 4 red balls. One ball was drawn from each urn. Find the probability that the sample will contain 2 white and 1 red balls.
- If a fair coin is tossed 10 times, find the chance of getting (i) exactly 4 heads
(ii) atleast 6 heads (iii) atmost 8 heads (iv) not more than 4 heads.
- Derive the least square estimators of the linear model Y = 1 + 2 X + u .
- State any six assumptions of the linear regression model.
- How to fit a non-linear regression model of the form Y = 1 + 2 X + 3 X 2 ?.
- Consider the model Y = 1 + 2 X + u where X and Y denote respectively
consumer income (hundreds of dollars per person) and consumption of purple
oongs (pounds per person) . The sample size is 20 , sum of X is 300, sum of Y
is 120 , sum of squares of deviations of X from its mean is 500 , sum of product
of deviations of X and Y from their respective means is 66. 5 and sum of squares
of is 3.6.
- Compute the slope and intercept.
- Compute the standard error of regression.
- Compute the standard error of slope.
- In a book of 520 pages , 390 typo- graphical errors occured. Assuming Poisson
law for the number of errors per page, find the probability that a random sample
of 5 pages contain (i) no error (ii) atleast 3 errors.
- The mean yield for one-acre plot is 662 kg with a standard deviation of 32 kg.
Assuming normal distribution find how many one-acre plots in a batch of 1000
plots will have yield (i) over 700 kg (ii) below 65 kg .
SECTION – C
Answer any TWO questions. Each carries TWENTY marks. (2 x 20 = 40 marks)
- Consider the following joint distribution of (X,Y):
X 0 1 2 3
0 1/27 3/27 3/27 1/27
Y 1 3/27 6/27 3/27 0
2 3/27 3/27 0 0
3 1/27 0 0 0
(a) Find the marginal distributions of X and Y.
(b) Find E( X ) and V ( X )
(c) Find the correlation between X and Y.
(d) Find E ( Y | X = 2 )
(e) Verify whether or not X and Y are independent.
- (a) Explain the following methods of estimation used in the analysis of regression
models:
(i) Maximum likelihood (ii) Moments
(b) The heights of 10 males of a given locality are found to be 70 , 67, 62 , 68 , 61
68 ,70 , 64 , 64 , 66 inches. Is it reasonable to believe that the average height is
greater than 64 inches ? Test at 5% significance level.
- For the following data on consumption expenditure (Y ) , income ( X2 ) and wealth
( X3 ):
Y($) : 70 65 90 95 110 115 120 140 155 150
X2 ($) : 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260
X3 ($) : 810 1009 1273 1425 1633 1876 2052 2201 2435 2686
- Fit a regression model Y = 2 X2 + 3 X3 + u .
- Find the correlation coefficients between Y and X2 , Y and X3 , X2 and X3.
- Find unadjusted and adjusted R2 .
- Test H0 : 2 = 3 = 0 at 5% significance level .
- (a) For the k-variate regression model Y = 1 + 2 X2 +…+k Xk + u
carry out the procedure for testing H0 : 2 = 3 = … = k = 0 against
H1: atleast one k 0.
(b) Write the properties of ordinary least square(OLS) estimators under the
normality assumption.
Loyola College B.A. Economics April 2009 Econometrics Question Paper PDF Download
LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI – 600 034
B.A. DEGREE EXAMINATION – ECONOMICS
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FOURTH SEMESTER – April 2009
ST 4207/ ST 4204 – ECONOMETRICS
Date & Time: 27/04/2009 / 9:00 – 12:00 Dept. No. Max. : 100 Marks
SECTION A
Answer all the questions 10 x 2 = 20 marks
1 If A and B are two events such that P(AU B) = 0.57 , P( Ac ) = 0.50 and
P( Bc ) = 0.60 , find P( A ∩ B ).
- Mention any two properties of variance.
- If X is a continuous random variable having the probability density function
f (x) = (1/9) x2 , 0 ≤ x ≤ 3 ; 0 , elsewhere
find P(0 < X < 1).
- Define maximum likelihood estimation.
- Write a note on interval estimation.
- Define sample regression function.
- Distinguish between R2 and adjusted R2.
- Write the importance of dummy variables in regression models.
- Define variance inflating factor.
- Write any two consequences of multicollinearity.
SECTION B
Answer any five questions 5 x 8 = 40 marks
- If 10 fair coins are tossed simultaneously , find the probability of getting
(i) exactly 4 heads (ii) at least 8 heads (iii) at most 9 heads (iv) between 7 and 9 heads inclusive.
- Given the following probability distribution:
X=x : -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
p(x) : 0.05 0.10 0.30 0 0.30 0.15 0.10
Compute E(X) and V(X).
- Let X be normally distributed with mean 8 and standard deviation 4.
Find (i) P(5≤X≤10) (ii) P(10≤X≤15) (iii) P(X≥15) (iv) P(X≤5).
- A random sample of 10 boys had the following I.Q.’s: 70 120 110 101
88 83 95 98 107 100 .Construct 95% confidence limits for the population mean.
- Two random samples drawn from two normal populations are:
Sample I : 20 16 26 27 23 22 18 24 25 19
Sample II : 27 33 42 35 32 34 38 28 41 43 30 37
Test whether the populations have the same variances. Use 1% significance level. 16. Fit a regression model of the form
Y = β1 + β2X + u for the following data:
Y : 55 88 90 80 118 120 145 135 145 175
X : 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260
Also find residual sum of squares.
- Explain the log-linear and semi log models.
- Explain the ANOVA for testing the equality of parameters for a k-
variable linear regression model.
SECTION C
Answer any two questions 2×20 = 40 marks
- Let X1 and X2 have the joint p.d.f.
f(x1,x2) = 2 , 0<x1<x2<1 : 0 , elsewhere.
- Find the marginal distributions of X1 and X2
- Find the conditional mean and variance of (i) X1 given X2 = x2 and
(ii) X2 given X1= x1.
- Find the correlation between X1 and X2.
- (a) Obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of μ and s2, if X1,X2,…Xn is
a random sample from normal distribution with mean μ and variance s2. .
(b) Fit a linear regression model of the form
Yi = β2 Xi + ui for the following data:
Y : 10 20 25 22 27 15 12
X : 8 12 15 13 16 10 9
Also find
- Standard error of slope parameter
- Residual sum of squares
- 95% confidence interval for β2.
- (a) Mention the assumptions underlying the method of least squares in the
classical regression model.
(b) Write a note on:
(i) t-distribution (ii) F-distribution (iii) Chi-square distribution
(iv) Normal distribution
- Fit a regression model of the form
Yi = β1 + β2 X2i + β3 X3i + ui for the following data:
Y : 1 3 8 11 15 14
X2 : 1 2 3 5 7 6
X3 : 2 1 4 3 5 4
Also find :
(i) Standard errors of estimators of β2 and β3.
(ii) Covariance between the estimators of β2 and β3.